access control in focus Experts reveal the trends, expectations and the growth figures The global access control market is expected to grow 7.2 per cent in 2016 and the strong growth is primarily due to the factors like price, accuracy, aesthetics and reduction in physical cards according to IHS. By Henrik Söderlund Where is the access control m Access control readers – installed base 2016 – by vertical 600,000 0 ■ Banking & Finance ■ Education ■ Retail 2016 ■ Healthcare ■ Utilities & Energy ■ Commercial @ 2016 IHS ■ Residential ■ Transportation Some of the most important findings in this analysis are that electronic locks continue to be strong and finally the growth in biometrics is taking off. Principal analyst at IHS, Blake Kozak, suggests that as physical and logical (IT) threats to corporations evolve, so must electronic access control. Additional deployments of logical and physical access control, mobile credentials, biometrics and cloudbased services are expected during 2016. Kozak believes that to ensure success – and speed growth – access control companies need to keep pace with the ever-changing market environment. ■ Sports & Leisure ■ Goverment Source:IHS ■ Manufacturing & Industrial grew the fastest in 2015 did not focus on only one segment of the total available market. Instead, these companies deployed IP-based solutions with remote, web-enabled features, while others expanded on existing customer contracts by adding wireless electronic locks. These types of solutions are scalable to any organisation, no matter its size. double digits biometrics growth The industry’s strong growth is primarily due to the following factors: price, accuracy, aesthetics and reduction in physical cards. Depending on a country’s privacy laws and the level of security required, biometrics offer card-free access-control capabilities that can greatly reduce cost over time. In addition to web-based solutions with remote management functionality and wireless electronic locks, biometrics also experienced strong growth in 2015. The global market for biometrics will grow by 9 per cent in 2016 – with double-digit growth expected in 2017 according to IHS. Although biometrics-enabled products have been available in the market for over a decade, only recently has growth been consistent enough to meet market expectations. The growth of credentials is slowing The total installed base of access control readers, panels, credentials Blake Kozak, analyst at IHS. Focus on many segments The global access control market grew 6.6 per cent in 2015 and is expected to grow 7.2 per cent in 2016. Global gross domestic product (GDP) is forecast to grow 2.6 per cent, and total construction spending is increasing by 3.3 per cent, which will have a positive impact on the access control market, according to the market research company IHS. Access control suppliers that and electronic locks is expected to reach 2.3 billion by 2016, up from 1.8 billion in 2012 Alexander Derricot, analyst at IHS. About 95 per cent of the installed base calculated for 2016 credentials, which is not surprising due to the requirement that each user should have a card or pass. However, the growth of credentials is slowing, even though it makes up a majority of the market, because the turnover of credentials is much higher, as employees move jobs and people accidentally misplace them. Panels make up the smallest portion of hardware, with less than 1 per cent share, but this category is expected to comprise 32 per cent of revenue in 2016. Due to the ability for panels to cover a large number of readers, the quantity required is far lower than the number of readers, which are needed at each entry point. If credentials are removed from the installed base, panels make up 18.8 per cent of all installed hardware and 38.3 per cent of revenue, claims Alexander Derricot. Positive trend for electronic locks The continued growth of electronic locks has started to affect the overall access control market. Previously, readers made up the second-largest segment of hardware, but in 2016 they have finally been overtaken by electronic locks. Electronic locks will make up 16.7 per cent of the installed base, while readers will make up 16.6 per cent. The growth of electronic locks, especially in the residential and utilities sector, will continue its upward trend, says IHS. The installed base growth may start to slow, as the mechanical nature of the locks shorten their life cycles, in comparison to readers. Within the various vertical markets examined by IHS, the commercial sector holds the largest portion of the installed base in 2016, with 495 million units or 21.6 per cent share. The governmental sector is the second largest, with 17.1 per cent of the total installed base in 2016. These two vertical markets have been the earliest adopters of access-control products, since they share a growing need to secure their premises and properly audit entry and exit. Still a proprietary market Access control open standards, software and integration will improve during this year according to IHS’ Principal Analyst Blake Kozak. Although open standards have been discussed for several years, progress has been slow. Many companies continue to deploy and promote their own forms of open standards and open application programme interfaces, while the Physical Security Interoperability Alliance (PSIA), Open Network Video Interface Forum (ONVIF) and other industry groups work to Security News Every Day – www. securityworldhotel.com 14 • d etektor internati onal